A Chinese invasion of Taiwan is unlikely. This is a conclusion many would arrive at when they factor in the logistics cost, the bloodshed and the international reaction that China would have to face for even attempting to breach the Taiwanese fortress. After all, the USA has vowed to defend Taiwan, sold billions of dollars worth of military equipment, and is in fact bound by its own law to ensure that the island nation successfully resists a Chinese incursion. What can go wrong? Well, a lot. Recent ‘fails’ of the West show just how quickly and severely things can go wrong for nations that count on Western assistance— the latest victim being Ukraine.
Ukraine— The latest casualty
Ukraine fell prey to the illusion of Western backing. This will go down in history as a classic example of the West’s inability to unite and inflict costs on a powerful aggressor, in this case, Russia. It all goes hunky-dory as long as a politically heightened fear of war keeps the ball rolling for Nato’s unity and expansion and therefore, the western military-industrial complex. Beyond that, a war with a great power like Russia is out of the question, and any harsh economic sanctions that come with a price to the West, are untenable. That is why as Putin invaded Ukraine, European companies doubled down on their imports of Russian gas passing through Ukraine. This is why Italy lobbied to keep its luxury exports out of the sanctions list on Russia, and Belgium saved its diamond industry…
