US consumers are becoming increasingly worried about the trajectory of the US economy amid sticky inflation and the prospect of high interest rates for longer than initially hoped.
The latest University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey released Friday revealed a 13% decline in overall sentiment during the month of May. The index reading for the month came in at 67.4, its lowest level in six months, and well below economist expectations for a reading of 76.2.
Year-ahead inflation expectations hit 3.5% in Friday’s report, up from 3.2% in the month prior. Longer-run inflation expectations rose to 3.1%, up from 3% the month prior.
“While consumers had been reserving judgment for the past few months, they now perceive negative developments on a number of dimensions,” survey of consumers director Joanne Hsu said in a statement. “They expressed worries that inflation, unemployment and interest rates may all be moving in an unfavorable direction in the year ahead.”
The drop in sentiment comes after several months of data showing that inflation’s downward path hasn’t been as smooth as many economists had hoped. Through the first three months of the year the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which strips out the cost of food and energy and is closely watched by the Federal Reserve, rose at an annualized pace of 4.4%. This tracked significantly higher than the Fed’s 2% goal, reversing a trend of significant easing in inflation to end 2023.
“In recent months,…
