Chances of winning each remaining game per ESPN

The Ohio State football team moved to 5-0 after a 49-10 blowout win vs. Rutgers and now it’s on to its first road contest against Michigan State next Saturday. The Buckeyes may have looked like a rusty, first-game unit against Notre Dame during Week 1, but ever since then, OSU has looked more like the team we all thought it would.

But what about the national narrative, or rather, what does ESPN’s Football Percentage Index say about the Buckeyes? Each week, the matchup predictor ESPN uses updates Ohio State’s chances of winning each game based on the results across the country, and each week we see the needle move a little for each game.

Buy Buckeyes Tickets

So, what does the model say about the Buckeyes’ chances of winning the rest of its regular season games after another dominant performance, this time against the Scarlet Knights?

Well, we’re glad you asked, or at least we’re glad you are here and we made you think about it by reading this.

Here’s where things stand after five weeks of the season.

Saturday, Oct. 8, at Michigan State

Michigan State quarterback Payton Thorne (10) hands the ball to running back Jarek Broussard (3) during the first half at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing on Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022. Credit: USA TODAY Sports

Spartan Stadium (East Lansing, Michigan)

Predicted Winner |  Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Probability |  87.9% (up from 87.7% last week)
All-Time Series | OSU leads 35-15

Projected running record:…