The World Cup round of 16 is in full swing and our tipster Jones Knows takes to the prediction chair to dig out some juicy betting angles.
Brazil vs South Korea, Monday 7pm
The time is now for Brazil to show they are worthy favourites for this World Cup.
To my eye, there doesn’t seem an awful lot between four or five teams at the head of the betting and in tournament football the margins are so fine, so I’m struggling to see why Brazil are so strong at 9/4 with Sky Bet in the outright market.
South Korea have shown a clear defensive vulnerability at dealing with crosses into their box so Brazil should be able to fill their boots at various points in this match – as the match prices suggest so.
Something which does look a shade overpriced is the South Korea shots line. Although they lack quality and defensive know-how, Paulo Bento’s side do move the ball nicely in midfield and won’t be overawed by playing Brazil. That confidence in getting up the pitch does usually lead to good territory and opportunities for shots.
They’ve had 35 shots in total in their last two games against Ghana and Portugal when tasked with chasing the game and the same scenario should play out here with not much to lose against the tournament favourites. I make the Evens with Sky Bet about them having…